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June 8, 2020: Daily Updates On the Emerging Novel Coronavirus From the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security
COVID-19
Update:
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BREAKING NEWS from The New York Times, June 9th ...
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Tuesday, June 9, 2020 11:17 AM EST
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Scientists had sharply criticized the World Health Organization for creating confusion on the issue, given the far-ranging public policy implications. They also said the comments did not reflect the current scientific research.
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The Center for Health Security is analyzing and providing updates on the emerging novel coronavirus. If you would like to receive these daily updates, please sign up below and select COVID-19. Additional resources are also available on our website.
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June 8, 2020
EPI UPDATE The WHO COVID-19 Situation Report for June 7 reports 6.80 million confirmed cases (136,409 new) and 397,388 deaths (4,586 new). This appears to be the highest global daily incidence* to date. The global totals could reach 7 million cases by tomorrow’s WHO Situation Report and 400,000 deaths by today’s update.
*This analysis uses data from the European CDC, not the WHO.
We continue to observe shifts in the geographic distribution of COVID-19 incidence. Since the end of May, Europe has reported fewer than 15% of the new COVID-19 cases each day, and North America has reported approximately 20-25% of new cases over the past week. Asia’s contribution to the global incidence continues to increase, now reporting more than 25% of new cases each day since the beginning of June. With the exception of June 6, South America’s proportion of COVID-19 cases continues to grow as well, now up to approximately 30-35% of the global total. The relative contribution by Africa continues to increase as well, but more slowly. Africa is now reporting approximately 5% of the global daily incidence.
India’s COVID-19 epidemic continues to accelerate, setting a new high for daily incidence today, 9,983 new cases. India has now reported more than 250,000 total cases nationwide. India’s COVID-19 incidence has leveled off over the past few days, just shy of 10,000 new cases per day, but it is still increasing slightly from day to day.
Brazil updated its COVID-19 dashboard, removing cumulative incidence and deaths as well as figures displaying various epidemiological trends. Brazil reported 18,912 new cases, which would be its lowest daily total since late May. Other sources, however, indicate that the daily incidence is considerably higher, in the range of 27,000 new cases. The source of this discrepancy is not clear. Depending on which daily incidence value is used, Brazil could be #11-13 globally in terms of per capita daily incidence, but it is still #1 or #2 in terms of total daily incidence. Brazil is also currently #3 globally in terms of cumulative COVID-19 deaths, but recent trends put it on track to surpass the United Kingdom in the coming days. Chile’s epidemic continues to exhibit a concerning acceleration, and it remains #3 in the world in terms of per capita daily incidence and #5 for total daily incidence.
UNITED STATES
The US CDC reported 1.92 million total cases (29,214 new) and 109,901 deaths (709 new). Over the weekend, the United States reported its 2 highest daily totals since May 16, and the United States could potentially surpass 2 million cases in the next 3-5 days. In total, 14 states (no change) and New York City reported more than 40,000 total cases, including New York City with more than 200,000; New Jersey and New York state with more than 150,000; and California and Illinois with more than 125,000.
The New York Times continues to track state- and local-level COVID-19 incidence in a variety of forms. A number of states began to relax social distancing measures—including resuming operations at restaurants, retail stores, and barbershops/salons—at the end of April and in early May. Increased social interaction as well as mass gatherings associated with the Memorial Day holiday weekend and ongoing large-scale protests against racial injustice could potentially contribute to transmission. We will continue monitoring these trends over the coming weeks.
New York continues to exhibit encouraging progress in containing COVID-19. In its most recent update, the statewide test positivity was 1.3%. In New York City it was 1.8%. New York reported 781 new cases statewide, its lowest daily total since March 17, and New York City reported 56 new cases, it lowest since March 14.
Florida continues to report elevated and increasing daily incidence. In fact, its 7-day average is approximately equal to its peak in early April and is still increasing. Georgia appears to have passed a second peak in mid-May; however, its recent incidence data, which may not yet be complete, already indicate another increase in the 7-day average. California’s daily incidence continues to increase, with 3 of its 5 highest daily totals reported in the last 3 days. While the number of tests conducted in Utah is holding steady or possibly decreasing slightly, the COVID-19 incidence has increased dramatically over the past 2 weeks, up from 150-200 new cases per day to 447 and 547 new cases on June 4 and 5, respectively. Arizona continues to report increasing COVID-19 incidence as well. Arizona reports its cases by specimen collection date (which means that data from the past 7 days may be incomplete) and it reported its 2 highest daily totals on June 1 and 2, both more than 1,000 new cases per day. Arizona’s daily incidence has more than doubled since early May.
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