Politics
Election 2016: What Do the Models Say About Who Will Win in November?
Note that all of these models forecast the presidential election based on the winner of the national two-party vote, and do not factor in third-party candidates. And they assume that a majority or plurality of the popular vote will produce the 270 electoral votes needed for victory. Those are reasonable assumptions based on the historical record but, as William Howard Taft and Al Gore would testify, not foolproof... One final point on polling-based forecasts. As rigorous and sophisticated as these models may be, they all have to work with imperfect materials. more »
Our Eyes Turn Towards the North: Senior Women in Canada
Canada, like many industrialized countries, has an aging population. The continued growth in the number of women and men aged 65 years and over, with women representing the majority of older people, will have implications for many areas such as health services, caregiving, housing and pensions. This chapter provides an overview of senior women in the population, analysed in a historical context where appropriate. It examines their socio-demographic characteristics, including life expectancy, diversity, family and living arrangements, health and well-being, labour force participation and income. more »
Turn Off the Newsfeed or Take a Digital Break! Election Stress in America
"We're seeing that it doesn't matter whether you're registered as a Democrat or Republican — US adults say they are experiencing significant stress from the current election,” said Lynn Bufka, PhD, APA's associate executive director. Election stress becomes exacerbated by arguments, stories, images and video on social media that can heighten concern and frustration, particularly with thousands of comments that can range from factual to hostile or even inflammatory,” said Bufka. more »
Fact Tank: Voters Have Little Confidence Clinton or Trump Would Help Workers Get Skills They Need to Compete
As the demand for high-skilled workers continues to grow, American voters express relatively little confidence in either major party presidential candidate when it comes to their ability to help American workers prepare to compete in today’s economy. Among the six economic issues tested, 43% of voters say that jobs will be either the most important or the second most important issue to their vote for president more »