Americans Are On the Move Again: Tired of Shoveling Snow and Ready for the Warmth
By Tim Henderson, Stateline*
Jen Dunlap took a lot of ribbing from her friends in Michigan when she decided to move to North Tampa, Florida, with her husband and six children.
Emerald Springs, Hillsborough County, Florida. State of Florida, photo by T. Scott
Friends said, "It's so hot!" But the Dunlaps were tired of shoveling snow and ready for the warmth they had seen on Florida vacations. "We absolutely moved here for the weather," Dunlap said. "The opportunities for our children, all of us really, to be outside a majority of the year has been a huge plus."
The Dunlaps had plenty of company, as Hillsborough County, which includes North Tampa, had the biggest one-year turnaround in the nation as far as attracting new residents. After losing thousands of people two years in a row, the county gained 8,500 in 2014, according to a Stateline analysis of recent US Census population estimates.
The Dunlaps reflect another trend: Americans are picking up and moving again as the recession fades, personal finances improve and housing markets recover. Counties in Nevada, Arizona, eastern California and Tennessee also saw some of the nation's biggest growth in movers last year.
"People are finally starting to move again after years of hunkering down," said Dowell Myers, a demographer at the University of Southern California. "Young people have kept graduating from school and moving into large cities, like Los Angeles and New York. But the normal out-movers have been suppressed. They are finally starting to break out."
Historically, about 17 percent of families move in a given year, but the recession knocked that number down as low as 11 percent, said Kimball Brace, president of Virginia-based Election Data Services. After two straight years of improvement, the number of moving families has partially recovered to about 15 percent.
"The recession kept people at home. They couldn't sell their home, they couldn't find a job," Brace said. "We're starting to see bigger numbers. We're not all the way back."
By next year it should be clearer how the moves will affect political power, Brace said. But some Sun Belt states already are expected to gain congressional seats at the expense of Northern states where outbound moves are picking up.
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